Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
VEF RigaHOME · -
76 : 822024.03.16 · 종료
BC KalevAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME60.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY39.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+60.2%
VALUE EDGE+60.2%
FAIR ODDS1.66
GRADEA
VEF RigaAnalysis MetricsBC Kalev
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
+11.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+3.92
171.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.92
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
6.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation8.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
VEF Riga
W · 99-76W · 72-77W · 83-76W · 94-69W · 98-77
BC Kalev
W · 91-69W · 70-95W · 92-79W · 78-77W · 81-63
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.16 | VEF Riga | 76 : 82 | BC Kalev |
| 2023.11.29 | BC Kalev | 73 : 66 | VEF Riga |
| 2023.04.08 | BC Kalev | 65 : 83 | VEF Riga |
| 2022.12.11 | VEF Riga | 91 : 67 | BC Kalev |
| 2022.10.31 | BC Kalev | 78 : 66 | VEF Riga |
| 2019.04.06 | BC Kalev | 80 : 90 | VEF Riga |
| 2019.01.10 | VEF Riga | 84 : 66 | BC Kalev |
| 2018.11.23 | BC Kalev | 82 : 91 | VEF Riga |