Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
BK OgreHOME · -
105 : 992024.03.14 · 종료
VentspilsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME41.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY58.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+58.6%
VALUE EDGE+58.6%
FAIR ODDS1.71
GRADEA
BK OgreAnalysis MetricsVentspils
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-1.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.17
174.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
172.83
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
4.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation7.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
BK Ogre
W · 73-82L · 82-76W · 89-65W · 75-83L · 72-61
Ventspils
L · 99-76W · 80-94W · 72-76W · 101-90W · 106-64
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.24 | BK Ogre | 88 : 92 | Ventspils |
| 2026.04.18 | Ventspils | 104 : 82 | BK Ogre |
| 2026.04.15 | BK Ogre | 66 : 75 | Ventspils |
| 2026.04.11 | Ventspils | 92 : 79 | BK Ogre |
| 2026.01.18 | BK Ogre | 114 : 98 | Ventspils |
| 2026.01.11 | Ventspils | 89 : 72 | BK Ogre |
| 2025.04.26 | Ventspils | 91 : 80 | BK Ogre |
| 2025.04.23 | BK Ogre | 98 : 91 | Ventspils |
| 2025.04.19 | Ventspils | 97 : 85 | BK Ogre |
| 2025.04.17 | BK Ogre | 78 : 97 | Ventspils |