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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Latvia-Estonian League Europe
Rigas ZelliHOME · -
77 : 782024.03.10 · 종료
RaplaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME67.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 68.2% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +67.2%
VALUE EDGE+67.2%
FAIR ODDS1.49
GRADEA
Rigas ZelliAnalysis MetricsRapla
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+5.83 Point MarginHigher is better -3.58
153.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 149.58
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%
7.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation14.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
67.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
32.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rigas Zelli
L · 69-64L · 75-83L · 94-69L · 98-77W · 81-64
Rapla
L · 72-76W · 54-72W · 79-78W · 72-61L · 82-54

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.03.10Rigas Zelli77 : 78Rapla
2023.12.06Rapla68 : 89Rigas Zelli