Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Latvia-Estonian League Europe

ParnuHOME · -

73 : 822024.03.10 · 종료

BK OgreAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME56.3%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY43.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +56.3%

VALUE EDGE+56.3%

FAIR ODDS1.78

GRADEA

ParnuAnalysis MetricsBK Ogre

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-2.08 Point MarginHigher is better -1.42

154.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 174.75

62.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

1.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.4 / 15

Prediction separation5.4 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

56.3%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

43.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Parnu

W · 84-82L · 61-56W · 69-64W · 83-79W · 93-63

BK Ogre

L · 82-76W · 89-65W · 75-83L · 72-61L · 68-91

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.03.10	Parnu	73 : 82	BK Ogre
2023.12.21	BK Ogre	93 : 72	Parnu
2023.03.13	BK Ogre	81 : 68	Parnu
2022.10.15	Parnu	85 : 71	BK Ogre
2019.01.19	Parnu	79 : 86	BK Ogre
2018.09.29	BK Ogre	99 : 74	Parnu