Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
Tallinna KalevHOME · -
85 : 772024.03.10 · 종료
BK LiepajaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME30.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY69.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 68.2%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+69.4%
VALUE EDGE+69.4%
FAIR ODDS1.44
GRADES
Tallinna KalevAnalysis MetricsBK Liepaja
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-16.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+3.08
162.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
161.58
0.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
2.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tallinna Kalev
L · 80-94L · 96-62L · 88-100L · 105-74L · 87-71
BK Liepaja
L · 91-69L · 68-81L · 70-83W · 68-69L · 83-79
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.10 | Tallinna Kalev | 85 : 77 | BK Liepaja |
| 2023.11.10 | BK Liepaja | 87 : 63 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2023.01.14 | Tallinna Kalev | 81 : 83 | BK Liepaja |
| 2022.10.29 | BK Liepaja | 86 : 83 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2018.11.11 | Tallinna Kalev | 73 : 60 | BK Liepaja |
| 2017.02.22 | BK Liepaja | 86 : 73 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2017.02.08 | Tallinna Kalev | 75 : 92 | BK Liepaja |