Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Latvia-Estonian League Europe

BC KalevHOME · -

91 : 692024.03.09 · 종료

BK LiepajaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME84.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY15.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 84.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +84.7%

VALUE EDGE+84.7%

FAIR ODDS1.18

GRADEB

BC KalevAnalysis MetricsBK Liepaja

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

+3.92 Point MarginHigher is better +3.08

165.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 161.58

71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

5.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.1일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement9.6 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

84.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

15.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

BC Kalev

W · 70-95W · 92-79W · 78-77W · 81-63W · 82-54

BK Liepaja

L · 68-81L · 70-83W · 68-69L · 83-79L · 97-89

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.03.09	BC Kalev	91 : 69	BK Liepaja
2023.10.11	BK Liepaja	90 : 93	BC Kalev
2019.03.25	BK Liepaja	80 : 107	BC Kalev
2018.10.02	BC Kalev	97 : 57	BK Liepaja