Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
ParnuHOME · -
84 : 822024.03.08 · 종료
Tartu UlikoolAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME56.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY43.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+56.4%
VALUE EDGE+56.4%
FAIR ODDS1.77
GRADEA
ParnuAnalysis MetricsTartu Ulikool
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-2.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.25
154.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
172.58
62.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.6 / 15
Prediction separation5.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Parnu
L · 61-56W · 69-64W · 83-79W · 93-63W · 92-70
Tartu Ulikool
W · 82-76L · 79-78W · 68-98W · 61-69W · 87-71
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.08 | Parnu | 84 : 82 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2023.12.17 | Tartu Ulikool | 88 : 78 | Parnu |
| 2023.02.15 | Tartu Ulikool | 79 : 68 | Parnu |
| 2022.05.27 | Parnu | 73 : 60 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2022.05.24 | Tartu Ulikool | 68 : 69 | Parnu |
| 2022.05.21 | Parnu | 93 : 88 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2022.04.16 | Tartu Ulikool | 89 : 91 | Parnu |
| 2021.03.28 | Tartu Ulikool | 77 : 89 | Parnu |
| 2021.03.07 | Parnu | 84 : 62 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2019.03.10 | Tartu Ulikool | 52 : 68 | Parnu |