Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Latvia-Estonian League Europe

Tallinna KalevHOME · -

80 : 942024.03.07 · 종료

VentspilsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME16.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY83.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 84.0% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +83.9%

VALUE EDGE+83.9%

FAIR ODDS1.19

GRADEA

Tallinna KalevAnalysis MetricsVentspils

16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-14.75 Point MarginHigher is better -0.17

161.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 172.83

16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%

5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.2 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

16.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

83.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Tallinna Kalev

L · 96-62L · 88-100L · 105-74L · 87-71W · 75-95

Ventspils

W · 72-76W · 101-90W · 106-64L · 86-77W · 100-92

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.03.07	Tallinna Kalev	80 : 94	Ventspils
2023.11.11	Ventspils	93 : 66	Tallinna Kalev
2022.10.29	Ventspils	90 : 76	Tallinna Kalev
2019.02.10	Tallinna Kalev	65 : 84	Ventspils
2018.12.16	Ventspils	80 : 68	Tallinna Kalev