Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
Tartu UlikoolHOME · -
82 : 762024.03.06 · 종료
BK OgreAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME68.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
95/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.2%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+68.5%
VALUE EDGE+68.5%
FAIR ODDS1.46
GRADEA
Tartu UlikoolAnalysis MetricsBK Ogre
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-3.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.42
172.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
174.75
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tartu Ulikool
L · 79-78W · 68-98W · 61-69W · 87-71L · 92-63
BK Ogre
W · 89-65W · 75-83L · 72-61L · 68-91W · 88-100
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.06 | Tartu Ulikool | 82 : 76 | BK Ogre |
| 2023.10.21 | BK Ogre | 65 : 80 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2023.03.08 | Tartu Ulikool | 65 : 80 | BK Ogre |
| 2022.11.24 | BK Ogre | 75 : 86 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2019.02.10 | BK Ogre | 99 : 89 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2018.10.27 | Tartu Ulikool | 91 : 94 | BK Ogre |