Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
RaplaHOME · -
72 : 762024.03.06 · 종료
VentspilsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME26.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY73.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 72.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+73.1%
VALUE EDGE+73.1%
FAIR ODDS1.37
GRADEA
RaplaAnalysis MetricsVentspils
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-3.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.17
150.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
172.83
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
3.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rapla
W · 54-72W · 79-78W · 72-61L · 82-54L · 86-94
Ventspils
W · 101-90W · 106-64L · 86-77W · 100-92L · 101-80
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.06 | Rapla | 72 : 76 | Ventspils |
| 2023.11.04 | Ventspils | 88 : 78 | Rapla |
| 2022.12.24 | Ventspils | 82 : 74 | Rapla |
| 2022.10.22 | Rapla | 78 : 87 | Ventspils |
| 2019.03.03 | Rapla | 72 : 93 | Ventspils |
| 2018.10.27 | Ventspils | 100 : 61 | Rapla |
| 2015.02.11 | Rapla | 55 : 70 | Ventspils |
| 2015.02.04 | Ventspils | 105 : 75 | Rapla |