Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Latvia-Estonian League Europe

BK OgreHOME · -

89 : 652024.03.03 · 종료

Keila KKAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME65.4%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY34.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 68.2% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +65.4%

VALUE EDGE+65.4%

FAIR ODDS1.53

GRADEA

BK OgreAnalysis MetricsKeila KK

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-1.42 Point MarginHigher is better -10.67

174.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 155.83

57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%

3.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.3 / 15

Prediction separation13.2 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

65.4%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

34.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

BK Ogre

W · 75-83L · 72-61L · 68-91W · 88-100W · 89-56

Keila KK

W · 97-89L · 92-79L · 84-92L · 88-93L · 71-78

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.03.03	BK Ogre	89 : 65	Keila KK
2023.10.19	Keila KK	80 : 71	BK Ogre
2023.01.22	BK Ogre	97 : 76	Keila KK
2022.10.31	Keila KK	81 : 87	BK Ogre