Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Latvia-Estonian League Europe

VentspilsHOME · -

101 : 902024.03.02 · 종료

Tal TechAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME82.8%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY17.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 84.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +82.8%

VALUE EDGE+82.8%

FAIR ODDS1.21

GRADEA

VentspilsAnalysis MetricsTal Tech

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

-0.17 Point MarginHigher is better +2.92

172.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 135.42

40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 62.5%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement9.9 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

82.8%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

17.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Ventspils

W · 106-64L · 86-77W · 100-92L · 101-80W · 92-63

Tal Tech

W · 105-74L · 92-70L · 89-56L · 81-63L · 101-71

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.10.17	Ventspils	82 : 85	Tal Tech
2024.03.02	Ventspils	101 : 90	Tal Tech
2023.02.13	Tal Tech	91 : 84	Ventspils
2022.10.15	Ventspils	84 : 71	Tal Tech
2019.01.20	Ventspils	88 : 67	Tal Tech
2018.09.29	Tal Tech	78 : 92	Ventspils