Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Latvia-Estonian League Europe

RaplaHOME · -

72 : 612024.02.22 · 종료

BK OgreAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME49.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY50.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK AWAY 52.4% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +50.9%

VALUE EDGE+50.9%

FAIR ODDS1.96

GRADEA

RaplaAnalysis MetricsBK Ogre

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-4.42 Point MarginHigher is better -1.42

151.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 174.75

42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.0 / 15

Prediction separation0.8 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

49.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

50.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Rapla

L · 82-54L · 86-94L · 66-61W · 85-64W · 80-79

BK Ogre

L · 68-91W · 88-100W · 89-56W · 76-66W · 78-83

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.02.22	Rapla	72 : 61	BK Ogre
2023.01.08	BK Ogre	92 : 75	Rapla
2022.12.04	Rapla	81 : 71	BK Ogre
2019.03.17	Rapla	83 : 95	BK Ogre
2018.12.16	BK Ogre	84 : 77	Rapla