Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
VentspilsHOME · -
100 : 922024.02.08 · 종료
Rigas ZelliAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME53.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY46.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+53.1%
VALUE EDGE+53.1%
FAIR ODDS1.88
GRADEA
VentspilsAnalysis MetricsRigas Zelli
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-0.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+5.83
172.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
153.33
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation2.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ventspils
L · 101-80W · 92-63W · 97-91W · 70-90W · 95-79
Rigas Zelli
W · 90-65W · 79-90W · 71-78W · 72-84W · 72-89
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.05.06 | Rigas Zelli | 84 : 94 | Ventspils |
| 2025.05.02 | Ventspils | 97 : 83 | Rigas Zelli |
| 2025.04.30 | Rigas Zelli | 95 : 97 | Ventspils |
| 2024.02.08 | Ventspils | 100 : 92 | Rigas Zelli |
| 2023.10.29 | Rigas Zelli | 89 : 86 | Ventspils |