Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
ParnuHOME · -
66 : 612024.01.18 · 종료
RaplaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME49.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY50.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+50.8%
VALUE EDGE+50.8%
FAIR ODDS1.97
GRADEA
ParnuAnalysis MetricsRapla
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-2.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.08
154.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
151.92
62.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
4.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
11.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.0 / 15
Prediction separation0.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Parnu
L · 78-88W · 104-63L · 93-72L · 91-84L · 88-78
Rapla
W · 85-64W · 80-79W · 75-86L · 71-61L · 68-89
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.01.18 | Parnu | 66 : 61 | Rapla |
| 2023.01.25 | Rapla | 73 : 76 | Parnu |
| 2022.11.27 | Parnu | 66 : 81 | Rapla |
| 2022.05.05 | Rapla | 76 : 86 | Parnu |
| 2022.05.03 | Parnu | 97 : 81 | Rapla |
| 2022.04.30 | Rapla | 80 : 67 | Parnu |
| 2022.04.28 | Parnu | 75 : 64 | Rapla |
| 2022.04.19 | Parnu | 79 : 72 | Rapla |
| 2021.05.05 | Parnu | 67 : 60 | Rapla |
| 2021.05.01 | Rapla | 72 : 79 | Parnu |