Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Latvia-Estonian League Europe

ParnuHOME · -

78 : 882024.01.13 · 종료

VEF RigaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME30.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY69.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100

AI PICK AWAY 68.2% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +69.9%

VALUE EDGE+69.9%

FAIR ODDS1.43

GRADEA

ParnuAnalysis MetricsVEF Riga

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

-2.08 Point MarginHigher is better +11.17

154.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 171.33

62.5% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%

14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.6 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.0 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

30.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

69.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Parnu

W · 104-63L · 93-72L · 91-84L · 88-78L · 75-65

VEF Riga

W · 88-73W · 86-76L · 93-86W · 95-59W · 94-64

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.10.17	VEF Riga	89 : 72	Parnu
2024.01.13	Parnu	78 : 88	VEF Riga
2023.10.12	VEF Riga	80 : 64	Parnu
2023.01.15	VEF Riga	85 : 41	Parnu
2022.11.05	Parnu	63 : 71	VEF Riga
2018.12.27	VEF Riga	91 : 56	Parnu
2018.11.09	Parnu	72 : 76	VEF Riga