Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
VentspilsHOME · -
116 : 872024.01.13 · 종료
Keila KKAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME74.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY25.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+74.9%
VALUE EDGE+74.9%
FAIR ODDS1.33
GRADEA
VentspilsAnalysis MetricsKeila KK
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-0.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-10.67
172.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
155.83
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ventspils
W · 103-81W · 85-103L · 94-96W · 91-84W · 84-78
Keila KK
L · 107-79L · 83-72W · 82-80W · 73-93L · 75-86
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.01.13 | Ventspils | 116 : 87 | Keila KK |
| 2023.11.20 | Keila KK | 93 : 103 | Ventspils |
| 2023.01.28 | Keila KK | 75 : 86 | Ventspils |
| 2022.11.24 | Ventspils | 93 : 86 | Keila KK |