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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Latvia-Estonian League Europe
Tallinna KalevHOME · -
64 : 892024.01.11 · 종료
Rigas ZelliAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME26.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY73.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 72.7% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +73.9%
VALUE EDGE+73.9%
FAIR ODDS1.35
GRADEA
Tallinna KalevAnalysis MetricsRigas Zelli
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-13.83 Point MarginHigher is better +5.83
163.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 153.33
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%
5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
26.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
73.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tallinna Kalev
L · 52-110L · 104-63L · 107-62L · 94-64L · 91-101
Rigas Zelli
L · 79-85W · 75-87W · 93-86L · 71-75W · 68-89

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.01.11Tallinna Kalev64 : 89Rigas Zelli
2023.10.22Rigas Zelli78 : 50Tallinna Kalev