Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
BK LiepajaHOME · -
75 : 612024.01.11 · 종료
BK OgreAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME50.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY49.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+50.4%
VALUE EDGE+50.4%
FAIR ODDS1.98
GRADEA
BK LiepajaAnalysis MetricsBK Ogre
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+3.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.42
161.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
174.75
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
4.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation0.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
BK Liepaja
W · 74-96L · 86-76L · 78-63W · 75-65W · 65-88
BK Ogre
L · 74-96L · 75-87W · 93-72L · 84-78W · 90-93
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.01.19 | BK Ogre | 69 : 78 | BK Liepaja |
| 2025.01.12 | BK Liepaja | 75 : 72 | BK Ogre |
| 2024.01.22 | BK Liepaja | 78 : 83 | BK Ogre |
| 2024.01.11 | BK Liepaja | 75 : 61 | BK Ogre |
| 2024.01.07 | BK Ogre | 74 : 96 | BK Liepaja |
| 2023.10.14 | BK Ogre | 86 : 62 | BK Liepaja |
| 2023.02.11 | BK Liepaja | 68 : 99 | BK Ogre |
| 2022.10.20 | BK Ogre | 81 : 68 | BK Liepaja |
| 2019.03.10 | BK Liepaja | 75 : 93 | BK Ogre |
| 2018.11.18 | BK Ogre | 95 : 68 | BK Liepaja |