Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Latvia-Estonian League Europe

VEF RigaHOME · -

86 : 762023.12.30 · 종료

BK LiepajaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME82.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY17.2%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100

AI PICK HOME 84.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +82.8%

VALUE EDGE+82.8%

FAIR ODDS1.21

GRADEA

VEF RigaAnalysis MetricsBK Liepaja

66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

+11.17 Point MarginHigher is better +3.08

171.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 161.58

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%

2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.6 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement10.4 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

82.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

17.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

VEF Riga

L · 93-86W · 95-59W · 94-64W · 85-105L · 73-66

BK Liepaja

L · 78-63W · 75-65W · 65-88L · 78-73L · 89-68

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.10.03	VEF Riga	82 : 55	BK Liepaja
2023.12.30	VEF Riga	86 : 76	BK Liepaja
2023.11.15	BK Liepaja	78 : 85	VEF Riga
2022.12.28	VEF Riga	81 : 76	BK Liepaja
2022.10.01	BK Liepaja	98 : 93	VEF Riga
2019.02.07	BK Liepaja	70 : 106	VEF Riga
2018.10.17	VEF Riga	102 : 47	BK Liepaja