Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
ParnuHOME · -
104 : 632023.12.24 · 종료
Tallinna KalevAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME75.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY24.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM77 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+75.1%
VALUE EDGE+75.1%
FAIR ODDS1.33
GRADES
ParnuAnalysis MetricsTallinna Kalev
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-2.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-13.83
154.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
163.17
62.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
2.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
77/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Parnu
L · 93-72L · 91-84L · 88-78L · 75-65L · 77-80
Tallinna Kalev
L · 107-62L · 94-64L · 91-101L · 76-82L · 101-73
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.18 | Tallinna Kalev | 75 : 82 | Parnu |
| 2023.12.24 | Parnu | 104 : 63 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2023.03.16 | Parnu | 77 : 93 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2022.12.22 | Tallinna Kalev | 62 : 97 | Parnu |
| 2022.04.24 | Parnu | 107 : 76 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2021.04.23 | Tallinna Kalev | 68 : 78 | Parnu |
| 2021.04.20 | Parnu | 88 : 76 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2021.03.31 | Parnu | 77 : 66 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2019.03.25 | Tallinna Kalev | 85 : 91 | Parnu |
| 2018.11.19 | Parnu | 70 : 65 | Tallinna Kalev |