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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Latvia-Estonian League Europe
Rigas ZelliHOME · -
71 : 752023.12.23 · 종료
BC KalevAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME58.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +58.2%
VALUE EDGE+58.2%
FAIR ODDS1.72
GRADEA
Rigas ZelliAnalysis MetricsBC Kalev
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 58.3%
+5.83 Point MarginHigher is better +3.92
153.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 165.92
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
10.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation7.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
58.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
41.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rigas Zelli
W · 68-89L · 73-65W · 85-81L · 79-74W · 87-78
BC Kalev
W · 82-61W · 71-115W · 73-65W · 73-66L · 103-72

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.11.01BC Kalev87 : 93Rigas Zelli
2023.12.23Rigas Zelli71 : 75BC Kalev
2023.12.03BC Kalev73 : 65Rigas Zelli