Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Latvia-Estonian League Europe

BK OgreHOME · -

93 : 722023.12.21 · 종료

ParnuAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME70.5%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY29.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 72.7% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +70.5%

VALUE EDGE+70.5%

FAIR ODDS1.42

GRADEA

BK OgreAnalysis MetricsParnu

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-1.42 Point MarginHigher is better -2.08

174.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 154.58

57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%

12.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.7 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

70.5%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

29.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

BK Ogre

L · 84-78W · 90-93W · 101-73W · 88-71L · 106-51

Parnu

L · 91-84L · 88-78L · 75-65L · 77-80L · 85-81

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.03.10	Parnu	73 : 82	BK Ogre
2023.12.21	BK Ogre	93 : 72	Parnu
2023.03.13	BK Ogre	81 : 68	Parnu
2022.10.15	Parnu	85 : 71	BK Ogre
2019.01.19	Parnu	79 : 86	BK Ogre
2018.09.29	BK Ogre	99 : 74	Parnu