Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
Tartu UlikoolHOME · -
88 : 782023.12.17 · 종료
ParnuAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME63.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY36.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+63.7%
VALUE EDGE+63.7%
FAIR ODDS1.57
GRADEA
Tartu UlikoolAnalysis MetricsParnu
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-3.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.08
172.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
154.58
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
9.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.8 / 15
Prediction separation11.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tartu Ulikool
W · 77-73W · 71-61L · 93-71W · 78-97L · 65-73
Parnu
L · 75-65L · 77-80L · 85-81L · 49-80L · 70-100
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.08 | Parnu | 84 : 82 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2023.12.17 | Tartu Ulikool | 88 : 78 | Parnu |
| 2023.02.15 | Tartu Ulikool | 79 : 68 | Parnu |
| 2022.05.27 | Parnu | 73 : 60 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2022.05.24 | Tartu Ulikool | 68 : 69 | Parnu |
| 2022.05.21 | Parnu | 93 : 88 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2022.04.16 | Tartu Ulikool | 89 : 91 | Parnu |
| 2021.03.28 | Tartu Ulikool | 77 : 89 | Parnu |
| 2021.03.07 | Parnu | 84 : 62 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2019.03.10 | Tartu Ulikool | 52 : 68 | Parnu |