Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Latvia-Estonian League Europe

Tartu UlikoolHOME · -

77 : 732023.12.13 · 종료

Keila KKAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME71.9%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY28.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 72.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +71.9%

VALUE EDGE+71.9%

FAIR ODDS1.39

GRADEA

Tartu UlikoolAnalysis MetricsKeila KK

50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-3.25 Point MarginHigher is better -10.67

172.58 Pace ProxyComparison metric 155.83

40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%

3.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

70/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement12.2 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

71.9%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

28.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Tartu Ulikool

W · 71-61L · 93-71W · 78-97L · 65-73L · 80-73

Keila KK

L · 71-115W · 91-101L · 92-96L · 81-60W · 91-97

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2026.10.18	Keila KK	71 : 89	Tartu Ulikool
2023.12.13	Tartu Ulikool	77 : 73	Keila KK
2023.11.16	Keila KK	80 : 73	Tartu Ulikool
2023.03.04	Keila KK	80 : 75	Tartu Ulikool
2022.10.15	Tartu Ulikool	69 : 89	Keila KK