Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
Tartu UlikoolHOME · -
71 : 612023.12.10 · 종료
RaplaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME67.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY32.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+67.5%
VALUE EDGE+67.5%
FAIR ODDS1.48
GRADEA
Tartu UlikoolAnalysis MetricsRapla
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-3.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.58
172.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
149.25
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
6.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tartu Ulikool
L · 93-71W · 78-97L · 65-73L · 80-73W · 61-90
Rapla
L · 68-89W · 76-82L · 71-85L · 88-78L · 72-65
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.02.29 | Rapla | 79 : 78 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2023.12.10 | Tartu Ulikool | 71 : 61 | Rapla |
| 2023.02.05 | Rapla | 71 : 78 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2022.12.14 | Tartu Ulikool | 73 : 51 | Rapla |
| 2022.04.22 | Rapla | 77 : 76 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2021.04.25 | Rapla | 83 : 55 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2021.04.24 | Tartu Ulikool | 54 : 74 | Rapla |
| 2021.04.21 | Rapla | 67 : 77 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2021.03.21 | Rapla | 81 : 65 | Tartu Ulikool |
| 2021.03.14 | Tartu Ulikool | 67 : 77 | Rapla |