Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
BK LiepajaHOME · -
75 : 652023.12.08 · 종료
ParnuAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME63.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY36.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+63.5%
VALUE EDGE+63.5%
FAIR ODDS1.57
GRADES
BK LiepajaAnalysis MetricsParnu
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+3.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-2.08
161.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
154.58
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
13.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation11.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
BK Liepaja
W · 65-88L · 78-73L · 89-68L · 78-85W · 87-63
Parnu
L · 77-80L · 85-81L · 49-80L · 70-100W · 79-63
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.09.26 | Parnu | 76 : 73 | BK Liepaja |
| 2024.02.11 | Parnu | 83 : 79 | BK Liepaja |
| 2023.12.08 | BK Liepaja | 75 : 65 | Parnu |
| 2022.12.11 | Parnu | 90 : 58 | BK Liepaja |
| 2019.01.28 | Parnu | 96 : 83 | BK Liepaja |
| 2018.10.13 | BK Liepaja | 62 : 93 | Parnu |
| 2017.01.12 | Parnu | 93 : 75 | BK Liepaja |
| 2016.11.17 | BK Liepaja | 90 : 76 | Parnu |