Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe

RaplaHOME · -
68 : 892023.12.06 · 종료
Rigas ZelliAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME46.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+53.4%
VALUE EDGE+53.4%
FAIR ODDS1.87
GRADEA
RaplaAnalysis MetricsRigas Zelli
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-3.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+5.83
149.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
153.33
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
60.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.8 / 15
Prediction separation2.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rapla
W · 76-82L · 71-85L · 88-78L · 72-65L · 67-71
Rigas Zelli
L · 73-65W · 85-81L · 79-74W · 87-78W · 59-88
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.10 | Rigas Zelli | 77 : 78 | Rapla |
| 2023.12.06 | Rapla | 68 : 89 | Rigas Zelli |