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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Latvia-Estonian League Europe
RaplaHOME · -
68 : 892023.12.06 · 종료
Rigas ZelliAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME46.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +53.4%
VALUE EDGE+53.4%
FAIR ODDS1.87
GRADEA
RaplaAnalysis MetricsRigas Zelli
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-3.58 Point MarginHigher is better +5.83
149.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 153.33
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 60.0%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.8 / 15
Prediction separation2.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
46.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
53.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rapla
W · 76-82L · 71-85L · 88-78L · 72-65L · 67-71
Rigas Zelli
L · 73-65W · 85-81L · 79-74W · 87-78W · 59-88

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.03.10Rigas Zelli77 : 78Rapla
2023.12.06Rapla68 : 89Rigas Zelli