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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Latvia-Estonian League Europe
PrometeyHOME · -
93 : 712023.12.03 · 종료
Tartu UlikoolAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME74.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY25.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 72.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +74.7%
VALUE EDGE+74.7%
FAIR ODDS1.34
GRADEA
PrometeyAnalysis MetricsTartu Ulikool
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+16.08 Point MarginHigher is better -3.25
153.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 172.58
100.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
74.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
25.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Prometey
W · 103-72W · 49-80W · 92-79L · 76-85W · 70-66
Tartu Ulikool
W · 78-97L · 65-73L · 80-73W · 61-90W · 83-71

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.03.10Tartu Ulikool20 : 0Prometey
2023.12.03Prometey93 : 71Tartu Ulikool
2023.04.07Prometey89 : 67Tartu Ulikool
2023.02.18Tartu Ulikool73 : 91Prometey
2022.10.29Prometey101 : 64Tartu Ulikool