Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
ParnuHOME · -
77 : 802023.12.03 · 종료
VentspilsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME35.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY64.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+64.7%
VALUE EDGE+64.7%
FAIR ODDS1.55
GRADEA
ParnuAnalysis MetricsVentspils
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-2.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.17
154.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
172.83
62.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation12.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Parnu
L · 85-81L · 49-80L · 70-100W · 79-63W · 56-77
Ventspils
W · 71-97W · 93-103W · 93-66W · 88-78L · 89-86
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.08 | Parnu | 89 : 80 | Ventspils |
| 2023.12.20 | Ventspils | 91 : 84 | Parnu |
| 2023.12.03 | Parnu | 77 : 80 | Ventspils |
| 2023.03.09 | Ventspils | 91 : 84 | Parnu |
| 2022.12.04 | Parnu | 81 : 75 | Ventspils |
| 2019.03.31 | Ventspils | 94 : 80 | Parnu |
| 2019.03.29 | Parnu | 80 : 83 | Ventspils |
| 2019.02.11 | Parnu | 72 : 82 | Ventspils |
| 2018.10.04 | Ventspils | 97 : 62 | Parnu |