Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
Tallinna KalevHOME · -
76 : 822023.11.29 · 종료
RaplaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME40.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY59.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+59.9%
VALUE EDGE+59.9%
FAIR ODDS1.67
GRADES
Tallinna KalevAnalysis MetricsRapla
16.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-13.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.58
163.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
149.25
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
3.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
11.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.3 / 15
Prediction separation8.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tallinna Kalev
L · 101-73L · 75-83L · 93-66L · 87-63L · 63-77
Rapla
L · 71-85L · 88-78L · 72-65L · 67-71L · 86-79
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.11.29 | Tallinna Kalev | 76 : 82 | Rapla |
| 2023.09.23 | Rapla | 72 : 78 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2023.01.11 | Rapla | 74 : 63 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2022.10.15 | Tallinna Kalev | 90 : 73 | Rapla |
| 2022.04.09 | Tallinna Kalev | 84 : 64 | Rapla |
| 2021.04.15 | Rapla | 96 : 88 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2021.04.02 | Tallinna Kalev | 72 : 87 | Rapla |
| 2018.12.23 | Rapla | 69 : 87 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2016.01.20 | Tallinna Kalev | 83 : 57 | Rapla |
| 2015.11.18 | Rapla | 68 : 57 | Tallinna Kalev |