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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Latvia-Estonian League Europe
VEF RigaHOME · -
81 : 602023.11.26 · 종료
Keila KKAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME84.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY16.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 83.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +84.0%
VALUE EDGE+84.0%
FAIR ODDS1.19
GRADEA
VEF RigaAnalysis MetricsKeila KK
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+11.17 Point MarginHigher is better -10.67
171.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 155.83
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
7.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
84.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
16.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
VEF Riga
W · 71-85W · 78-85W · 72-85W · 96-46L · 70-66
Keila KK
W · 91-97L · 93-103W · 80-73W · 80-90W · 95-72

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.09.30VEF Riga90 : 60Keila KK
2024.03.07Keila KK72 : 77VEF Riga
2023.11.26VEF Riga81 : 60Keila KK
2023.01.10VEF Riga95 : 48Keila KK
2022.12.03Keila KK76 : 88VEF Riga