Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Latvia-Estonian League Europe

BK OgreHOME · -

101 : 732023.11.26 · 종료

Tallinna KalevAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME77.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY22.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 77.4% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +77.1%

VALUE EDGE+77.1%

FAIR ODDS1.30

GRADES

BK OgreAnalysis MetricsTallinna Kalev

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%

-1.42 Point MarginHigher is better -13.83

174.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 163.17

57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%

9.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.9 / 15

Prediction separation15.0 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

77.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

22.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

BK Ogre

W · 88-71L · 106-51W · 76-85W · 73-94L · 65-80

Tallinna Kalev

L · 75-83L · 93-66L · 87-63L · 63-77L · 73-82

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.02.12	Tallinna Kalev	88 : 100	BK Ogre
2023.11.26	BK Ogre	101 : 73	Tallinna Kalev
2023.01.29	BK Ogre	72 : 68	Tallinna Kalev
2022.12.11	Tallinna Kalev	56 : 63	BK Ogre
2019.01.10	BK Ogre	94 : 77	Tallinna Kalev
2018.10.20	Tallinna Kalev	83 : 81	BK Ogre