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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Latvia-Estonian League Europe
Rigas ZelliHOME · -
85 : 812023.11.25 · 종료
ParnuAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME81.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY18.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 83.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +81.4%
VALUE EDGE+81.4%
FAIR ODDS1.23
GRADEA
Rigas ZelliAnalysis MetricsParnu
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+5.83 Point MarginHigher is better -2.08
153.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 154.58
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
2.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
81.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
18.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rigas Zelli
L · 79-74W · 87-78W · 59-88L · 92-79W · 81-51
Parnu
L · 49-80L · 70-100W · 79-63W · 56-77L · 68-70

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.03.03Parnu69 : 64Rigas Zelli
2023.11.25Rigas Zelli85 : 81Parnu