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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Latvia-Estonian League Europe
Latvijas UniversitateHOME · -
71 : 972023.11.25 · 종료
VentspilsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME21.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY78.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM77 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 77.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +78.5%
VALUE EDGE+78.5%
FAIR ODDS1.27
GRADES
Latvijas UniversitateAnalysis MetricsVentspils
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-13.17 Point MarginHigher is better -0.17
165.67 Pace ProxyComparison metric 172.83
33.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
5.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

77/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
21.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
78.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Latvijas Universitate
W · 75-83L · 59-88L · 72-85W · 73-81L · 95-72
Ventspils
W · 93-103W · 93-66W · 88-78L · 89-86W · 74-92

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.09.29Latvijas Universitate92 : 108Ventspils
2024.01.20Ventspils95 : 79Latvijas Universitate
2024.01.10Ventspils103 : 81Latvijas Universitate
2024.01.06Latvijas Universitate85 : 103Ventspils
2023.11.25Latvijas Universitate71 : 97Ventspils
2023.01.11Latvijas Universitate70 : 78Ventspils
2022.10.12Ventspils83 : 71Latvijas Universitate
2019.01.06Latvijas Universitate61 : 89Ventspils
2018.11.04Ventspils78 : 60Latvijas Universitate