Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
RaplaHOME · -
71 : 852023.11.18 · 종료
VEF RigaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME29.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY70.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 72.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+70.5%
VALUE EDGE+70.5%
FAIR ODDS1.42
GRADEA
RaplaAnalysis MetricsVEF Riga
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-3.58
Point MarginHigher is better
+11.17
149.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
171.33
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
6.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rapla
L · 88-78L · 72-65L · 67-71L · 86-79W · 67-88
VEF Riga
W · 78-85W · 72-85W · 96-46L · 70-66W · 68-107
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.25 | VEF Riga | 80 : 78 | Rapla |
| 2023.11.18 | Rapla | 71 : 85 | VEF Riga |
| 2023.03.29 | Rapla | 89 : 94 | VEF Riga |
| 2023.03.25 | VEF Riga | 77 : 54 | Rapla |
| 2023.01.18 | Rapla | 71 : 74 | VEF Riga |
| 2022.11.03 | VEF Riga | 81 : 62 | Rapla |
| 2019.04.01 | VEF Riga | 121 : 71 | Rapla |
| 2019.03.28 | Rapla | 65 : 90 | VEF Riga |
| 2019.01.23 | Rapla | 71 : 77 | VEF Riga |
| 2018.09.29 | VEF Riga | 102 : 68 | Rapla |