Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
BK LiepajaHOME · -
78 : 852023.11.15 · 종료
VEF RigaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME34.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY65.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
AWAY 68.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+65.5%
VALUE EDGE+65.5%
FAIR ODDS1.53
GRADEA
BK LiepajaAnalysis MetricsVEF Riga
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
+3.08
Point MarginHigher is better
+11.17
161.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
171.33
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
5.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.7 / 15
Prediction separation13.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
BK Liepaja
W · 87-63W · 72-65W · 99-88L · 103-70L · 86-62
VEF Riga
W · 72-85W · 96-46L · 70-66W · 68-107L · 74-72
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.03 | VEF Riga | 82 : 55 | BK Liepaja |
| 2023.12.30 | VEF Riga | 86 : 76 | BK Liepaja |
| 2023.11.15 | BK Liepaja | 78 : 85 | VEF Riga |
| 2022.12.28 | VEF Riga | 81 : 76 | BK Liepaja |
| 2022.10.01 | BK Liepaja | 98 : 93 | VEF Riga |
| 2019.02.07 | BK Liepaja | 70 : 106 | VEF Riga |
| 2018.10.17 | VEF Riga | 102 : 47 | BK Liepaja |