Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
BC KalevHOME · -
106 : 512023.11.11 · 종료
BK OgreAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME71.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+71.8%
VALUE EDGE+71.8%
FAIR ODDS1.39
GRADEA
BC KalevAnalysis MetricsBK Ogre
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+3.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.42
165.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
174.75
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
BC Kalev
W · 70-100L · 72-78W · 67-71W · 76-70W · 108-68
BK Ogre
W · 76-85W · 73-94L · 65-80L · 80-71W · 86-62
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.11.07 | BK Ogre | 92 : 88 | BC Kalev |
| 2024.01.14 | BK Ogre | 67 : 78 | BC Kalev |
| 2023.11.11 | BC Kalev | 106 : 51 | BK Ogre |
| 2023.04.01 | BK Ogre | 66 : 83 | BC Kalev |
| 2023.03.25 | BC Kalev | 76 : 70 | BK Ogre |
| 2023.02.17 | BC Kalev | 99 : 68 | BK Ogre |
| 2023.01.14 | BK Ogre | 78 : 100 | BC Kalev |
| 2019.04.06 | BK Ogre | 85 : 87 | BC Kalev |
| 2019.02.07 | BC Kalev | 118 : 92 | BK Ogre |
| 2018.10.04 | BK Ogre | 78 : 93 | BC Kalev |