Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
BK LiepajaHOME · -
87 : 632023.11.10 · 종료
Tallinna KalevAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME68.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+68.1%
VALUE EDGE+68.1%
FAIR ODDS1.47
GRADES
BK LiepajaAnalysis MetricsTallinna Kalev
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+3.08
Point MarginHigher is better
-13.83
161.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
163.17
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
BK Liepaja
W · 72-65W · 99-88L · 103-70L · 86-62L · 90-93
Tallinna Kalev
L · 63-77L · 73-82L · 78-50L · 98-51L · 56-69
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.10 | Tallinna Kalev | 85 : 77 | BK Liepaja |
| 2023.11.10 | BK Liepaja | 87 : 63 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2023.01.14 | Tallinna Kalev | 81 : 83 | BK Liepaja |
| 2022.10.29 | BK Liepaja | 86 : 83 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2018.11.11 | Tallinna Kalev | 73 : 60 | BK Liepaja |
| 2017.02.22 | BK Liepaja | 86 : 73 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2017.02.08 | Tallinna Kalev | 75 : 92 | BK Liepaja |