Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
ParnuHOME · -
70 : 1002023.11.05 · 종료
BC KalevAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME39.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY61.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+61.0%
VALUE EDGE+61.0%
FAIR ODDS1.64
GRADEA
ParnuAnalysis MetricsBC Kalev
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-2.08
Point MarginHigher is better
+3.92
154.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.92
62.5%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation9.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Parnu
W · 79-63W · 56-77L · 68-70L · 80-64L · 77-67
BC Kalev
L · 72-78W · 67-71W · 76-70W · 108-68W · 98-51
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.04 | BC Kalev | 79 : 78 | Parnu |
| 2024.04.02 | Parnu | 63 : 77 | BC Kalev |
| 2024.03.30 | BC Kalev | 83 : 77 | Parnu |
| 2024.01.31 | BC Kalev | 78 : 77 | Parnu |
| 2023.11.05 | Parnu | 70 : 100 | BC Kalev |
| 2023.03.19 | Parnu | 78 : 83 | BC Kalev |
| 2023.01.08 | BC Kalev | 81 : 70 | Parnu |
| 2022.05.18 | BC Kalev | 73 : 82 | Parnu |
| 2022.05.17 | Parnu | 98 : 70 | BC Kalev |
| 2022.05.14 | BC Kalev | 70 : 91 | Parnu |