Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
Rigas ZelliHOME · -
89 : 862023.10.29 · 종료
VentspilsAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME82.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY17.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
HOME 83.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+82.8%
VALUE EDGE+82.8%
FAIR ODDS1.21
GRADEB
Rigas ZelliAnalysis MetricsVentspils
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+5.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.17
153.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
172.83
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
7.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rigas Zelli
W · 78-50W · 87-62L · 63-56W · 71-78W · 77-56
Ventspils
W · 74-92L · 68-107W · 75-104L · 92-69L · 79-88
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.05.06 | Rigas Zelli | 84 : 94 | Ventspils |
| 2025.05.02 | Ventspils | 97 : 83 | Rigas Zelli |
| 2025.04.30 | Rigas Zelli | 95 : 97 | Ventspils |
| 2024.02.08 | Ventspils | 100 : 92 | Rigas Zelli |
| 2023.10.29 | Rigas Zelli | 89 : 86 | Ventspils |