Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
Valmiera Glass ViaHOME · -
73 : 942023.10.28 · 종료
BK OgreAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME21.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY78.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+78.8%
VALUE EDGE+78.8%
FAIR ODDS1.27
GRADEB
Valmiera Glass ViaAnalysis MetricsBK Ogre
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+1.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.42
155.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
174.75
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Valmiera Glass Via
L · 74-92L · 108-68W · 68-70L · 87-82L · 71-78
BK Ogre
L · 65-80L · 80-71W · 86-62W · 59-91W · 64-78
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.01.25 | BK Ogre | 76 : 66 | Valmiera Glass Via |
| 2023.10.28 | Valmiera Glass Via | 73 : 94 | BK Ogre |
| 2023.01.26 | Valmiera Glass Via | 87 : 85 | BK Ogre |
| 2022.10.13 | BK Ogre | 88 : 55 | Valmiera Glass Via |
| 2019.04.13 | BK Ogre | 73 : 67 | Valmiera Glass Via |
| 2019.04.12 | Valmiera Glass Via | 82 : 93 | BK Ogre |
| 2019.04.10 | BK Ogre | 100 : 81 | Valmiera Glass Via |
| 2019.03.24 | BK Ogre | 92 : 71 | Valmiera Glass Via |
| 2018.12.09 | Valmiera Glass Via | 71 : 86 | BK Ogre |