Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
Tal TechHOME · -
86 : 792023.10.26 · 종료
RaplaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME57.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+57.4%
VALUE EDGE+57.4%
FAIR ODDS1.74
GRADEA
Tal TechAnalysis MetricsRapla
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+2.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.58
135.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
149.25
75.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.6 / 15
Prediction separation6.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tal Tech
W · 81-86W · 96-59W · 80-78L · 75-77L · 84-102
Rapla
W · 67-88W · 71-63L · 90-66L · 72-78L · 89-94
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.12.23 | Rapla | 80 : 79 | Tal Tech |
| 2023.10.26 | Tal Tech | 86 : 79 | Rapla |
| 2023.02.19 | Rapla | 83 : 70 | Tal Tech |
| 2022.10.01 | Tal Tech | 83 : 89 | Rapla |
| 2022.04.16 | Tal Tech | 89 : 87 | Rapla |
| 2021.02.24 | Tal Tech | 71 : 87 | Rapla |
| 2019.02.03 | Tal Tech | 82 : 78 | Rapla |
| 2018.11.04 | Rapla | 71 : 89 | Tal Tech |