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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Latvia-Estonian League Europe
Rigas ZelliHOME · -
78 : 502023.10.22 · 종료
Tallinna KalevAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME81.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY18.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 83.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +81.9%
VALUE EDGE+81.9%
FAIR ODDS1.22
GRADEA
Rigas ZelliAnalysis MetricsTallinna Kalev
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
+5.83 Point MarginHigher is better -13.83
153.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 163.17
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
81.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
18.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rigas Zelli
W · 87-62L · 63-56W · 71-78W · 77-56
Tallinna Kalev
L · 98-51L · 56-69W · 87-79W · 72-78L · 101-64

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.01.11Tallinna Kalev64 : 89Rigas Zelli
2023.10.22Rigas Zelli78 : 50Tallinna Kalev