Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
VentspilsHOME · -
68 : 1072023.10.21 · 종료
VEF RigaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME43.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY56.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+56.2%
VALUE EDGE+56.2%
FAIR ODDS1.78
GRADEA
VentspilsAnalysis MetricsVEF Riga
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-0.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+11.17
172.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
171.33
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.2 / 15
Prediction separation5.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ventspils
W · 75-104L · 92-69L · 79-88W · 80-90L · 101-94
VEF Riga
L · 74-72W · 80-64W · 74-94L · 80-78L · 77-62
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.05.04 | VEF Riga | 67 : 75 | Ventspils |
| 2026.05.02 | Ventspils | 94 : 104 | VEF Riga |
| 2026.05.01 | VEF Riga | 59 : 82 | Ventspils |
| 2026.04.28 | Ventspils | 86 : 84 | VEF Riga |
| 2026.04.25 | VEF Riga | 87 : 76 | Ventspils |
| 2025.05.23 | Ventspils | 91 : 93 | VEF Riga |
| 2025.05.20 | VEF Riga | 89 : 68 | Ventspils |
| 2025.05.17 | Ventspils | 106 : 114 | VEF Riga |
| 2025.05.14 | VEF Riga | 91 : 77 | Ventspils |
| 2025.02.16 | VEF Riga | 96 : 81 | Ventspils |