Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Latvia-Estonian League Europe

BK OgreHOME · -

65 : 802023.10.21 · 종료

Tartu UlikoolAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME55.7%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY44.3%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100

AI PICK HOME 52.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +55.7%

VALUE EDGE+55.7%

FAIR ODDS1.79

GRADEB

BK OgreAnalysis MetricsTartu Ulikool

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%

-1.42 Point MarginHigher is better -3.25

174.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 172.58

57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%

2.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.9일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage19.3 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement9.8 / 15

Prediction separation4.9 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

55.7%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

44.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

BK Ogre

L · 80-71W · 86-62W · 59-91W · 64-78L · 74-94

Tartu Ulikool

W · 74-72W · 63-56L · 74-71W · 63-60L · 89-67

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.03.06	Tartu Ulikool	82 : 76	BK Ogre
2023.10.21	BK Ogre	65 : 80	Tartu Ulikool
2023.03.08	Tartu Ulikool	65 : 80	BK Ogre
2022.11.24	BK Ogre	75 : 86	Tartu Ulikool
2019.02.10	BK Ogre	99 : 89	Tartu Ulikool
2018.10.27	Tartu Ulikool	91 : 94	BK Ogre