Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
BC KalevHOME · -
98 : 512023.10.14 · 종료
Tallinna KalevAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME78.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY21.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM77 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+78.1%
VALUE EDGE+78.1%
FAIR ODDS1.28
GRADES
BC KalevAnalysis MetricsTallinna Kalev
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+3.92
Point MarginHigher is better
-13.83
165.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
163.17
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
77/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
BC Kalev
W · 90-93W · 56-104W · 74-71L · 63-60L · 65-83
Tallinna Kalev
L · 56-69W · 87-79W · 72-78L · 101-64W · 83-106
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.03.25 | Tallinna Kalev | 66 : 84 | BC Kalev |
| 2023.10.14 | BC Kalev | 98 : 51 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2023.03.22 | BC Kalev | 101 : 64 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2022.10.08 | Tallinna Kalev | 68 : 78 | BC Kalev |
| 2022.04.17 | BC Kalev | 108 : 77 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2019.05.23 | BC Kalev | 105 : 83 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2019.05.21 | Tallinna Kalev | 73 : 101 | BC Kalev |
| 2019.05.17 | BC Kalev | 87 : 78 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2019.02.28 | BC Kalev | 93 : 92 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2018.10.25 | Tallinna Kalev | 72 : 79 | BC Kalev |