Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
BK OgreHOME · -
74 : 942023.10.05 · 종료
VEF RigaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME32.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY67.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 68.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+67.6%
VALUE EDGE+67.6%
FAIR ODDS1.48
GRADEA
BK OgreAnalysis MetricsVEF Riga
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-1.42
Point MarginHigher is better
+11.17
174.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
171.33
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
66.7%
5.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
BK Ogre
L · 66-83L · 76-70L · 75-67W · 81-68W · 65-80
VEF Riga
L · 80-78L · 77-62W · 65-83W · 89-94W · 77-54
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.09.26 | BK Ogre | 73 : 92 | VEF Riga |
| 2024.03.21 | VEF Riga | 81 : 74 | BK Ogre |
| 2023.10.05 | BK Ogre | 74 : 94 | VEF Riga |
| 2023.03.18 | VEF Riga | 75 : 67 | BK Ogre |
| 2022.11.20 | BK Ogre | 80 : 90 | VEF Riga |
| 2019.04.25 | VEF Riga | 90 : 85 | BK Ogre |
| 2019.04.23 | BK Ogre | 77 : 104 | VEF Riga |
| 2019.04.20 | VEF Riga | 110 : 71 | BK Ogre |
| 2019.03.07 | BK Ogre | 75 : 90 | VEF Riga |