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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Latvia-Estonian League Europe
Tallinna KalevHOME · -
87 : 792023.09.30 · 종료
Valmiera Glass ViaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME73.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY26.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 72.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +73.2%
VALUE EDGE+73.2%
FAIR ODDS1.37
GRADEA
Tallinna KalevAnalysis MetricsValmiera Glass Via
16.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-13.83 Point MarginHigher is better +1.75
163.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 155.25
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
7.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
73.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
26.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Tallinna Kalev
W · 72-78L · 101-64W · 83-106W · 77-93W · 79-62
Valmiera Glass Via
L · 102-83L · 88-94W · 98-86L · 96-64L · 83-69

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.03.02Valmiera Glass Via96 : 62Tallinna Kalev
2023.09.30Tallinna Kalev87 : 79Valmiera Glass Via
2023.03.04Tallinna Kalev76 : 87Valmiera Glass Via
2022.12.04Valmiera Glass Via91 : 77Tallinna Kalev
2019.01.28Valmiera Glass Via63 : 86Tallinna Kalev