Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Latvia-Estonian League
Europe
RaplaHOME · -
72 : 782023.09.23 · 종료
Tallinna KalevAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME70.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY29.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+70.4%
VALUE EDGE+70.4%
FAIR ODDS1.42
GRADES
RaplaAnalysis MetricsTallinna Kalev
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
-3.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-13.83
149.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
163.17
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rapla
L · 89-94L · 77-54W · 61-66W · 96-64W · 77-83
Tallinna Kalev
L · 101-64W · 83-106W · 77-93W · 79-62L · 76-87
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.11.29 | Tallinna Kalev | 76 : 82 | Rapla |
| 2023.09.23 | Rapla | 72 : 78 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2023.01.11 | Rapla | 74 : 63 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2022.10.15 | Tallinna Kalev | 90 : 73 | Rapla |
| 2022.04.09 | Tallinna Kalev | 84 : 64 | Rapla |
| 2021.04.15 | Rapla | 96 : 88 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2021.04.02 | Tallinna Kalev | 72 : 87 | Rapla |
| 2018.12.23 | Rapla | 69 : 87 | Tallinna Kalev |
| 2016.01.20 | Tallinna Kalev | 83 : 57 | Rapla |
| 2015.11.18 | Rapla | 68 : 57 | Tallinna Kalev |